摘要:期待可能性理论起源于德国，后传到日本。这一理论架构和研究在德、日已经非常成熟，而在我国，期待可能性理论的研究还不成熟，甚至可以说，在我国的刑法领域，期待可能性理论无论在理论界还是在刑事司法中，都还没有真正受到足够的重视。本文通过分析期待可能性理论的实践应用价值，进一步指出了我国深入接受与发展该理论的必要性和重要性。而且，无论从国家政策、法律法规还是实践的角度，在我国应用期待可能性理论都有一定的可行性。但由于期待可能性理论在我国现行法律法规中没有明确的规定，所以在司法实践中各地的做法并没有统一的标准。笔者通过借鉴期待可能性理论在国外的经验，对我国期待可能性理论的立法与司法提出了具体的若干建议。

关键词：期待可能性；规范责任论；超法规

Abstract:Theory of expectation of possibility originated in Germany, and then to Japan. This is a theoretical framework and research in Germany, Japan has been very mature, but in our country, the theory of expectation of possibility research still not mature, even in China's criminal law, the theory of expectation of possibility, whether in theory or in criminal justice, haven't really is enough attention. By analyzing the theory of expectation of possibility practical application value, and further pointed out the development of the theory and further the necessity and importance. But, no matter from state policies, laws and regulations or practice in our country, the application of theory of expectation of possibility has certain feasibility. But due to the theory of expectation of possibility in China in the existing laws and regulations, no explicit provisions in judicial practice, so all the way, and there is no unified standard. Based on the theory of expectation of possibility in reference to Chinese overseas experience, the theory of expectation of possibility of legislation and judicial puts forward concrete suggestions.

Key words: expectation of possibility；normative schuldlehre；hypertagmeme

　　　期待可能性理论有着重要的理论价值和实践意义，在我国刑事司法审判中借鉴期待可能性理论有必要性和可行性。但同时，我们也必须认识到，期待可能性有其本身的弱点，如果适用不当可能导致弱化司法，降低刑法功能，超越刑法解释界限的后果。我们必须将期待可能性理论运用于我国司法实践，将期待可能性理论作为量刑因素减轻行为人刑事责任，发挥期待可能性理论在我国立法、司法活动中的具体作用。